Kazakhstan market report. Full year 2016

Kazakhstan Auto Sales Toyota Camry 2017

Kazakhstan Auto Sales 2016 collapsing for the third year in a row hit by the energy sector crisis. The market felt down at the 2012 level losing over 20 spots in the global ranking.

Market Outlook

A stabilization in the country’s financial conditions and higher oil prices led to an improvement in economic activity in the second half of 2016, thanks to the end of maintenance work at Tengiz and the opening of the Kashagan oil field. FocusEconomics analysts agree that the government’s commitment to cut oil output will not impact the GDP growth forecast, leaving the country’s 2017 GDP growth forecast unchanged from last month’s 2.1%. In 2018 they see the economy accelerating further to a 2.8% expansion.

“Once upon a time…” the domestic vehicles market was the fastest growing globally (2011, 2012) while now it is collapsing month after month hit by absolute shortage on demand. For the third year in a row, the market fell down. Furthermore, the really bad fourth quarter data do not suggest potential for a 2017 recovery.

Indeed, according to data released by the Kazakhstan Auto Association, in December the vehicles passengers had been 6.129 (-39%), hitting the 28th y.o.y. drop down in a string and ended the year with 45.872 units (-53.0%).

Competitive Arena

In 2016, Toyota was the brand leader with 9.059 units (+25.3%) ahead of Lada and Renault, despite they fell down respectively 66.8% and 55.5% at 8.147 and 3.772. Among the highest increases of the year were reported by Lexus, Hyundai trucks and bus and Kamaz, while Jac was the best performer improving 515.8%.

Uz-Daewoo recorded the sharpest slowdown declining 95.4%, while quitting the market replaced by the new brand Razon, followed by SsangYong, Chevrolet, Geely, Iveco and Hyundai.

The best-selling model was the Toyota Camry with 3.190 units (+59.2%) ahead of the GAZ Gazelle with 2.287 (-51.5%) and the Lada Priora with 2.285 (-61.7%). The Lada 4×4 was fourth with 2.261 sales (-7.0%) followed by the Lada Granta with 1.883 (-74.2%).

Research, Consulting, Data & Forecast Store

F2M covers intensively this market with several products developed to help any investigation required.

Market Researches in PDF are immediately available for download with study on the market since 2005 and with forecast up to the 2022.

Auto Data in EXCEL are immediately downloadable with annual sales volume, split by month, for all brands and all models distributed in the market. This year data are released year to date, but you will receive a monthly update until the year-end.

All these and more within our Kazakhstan corner Store

Below, you can sort our interactive tables to see data regarding Brands, Groups and Models (Q3 2014). Please bear in mind that sales data are subject to adjustments as sources will update their information. This report is updated at the publishing date and will not be modified while the next on this subject will always have the year to date data updated.

Rank Dec Rank 2016 BRAND Sales December Sales 2016 FY Variation December Variation 2016 FY Share December Share 2016
1 1 Toyota 1.416 9.059 137,2% 25,3% 27,6% 19,7%
2 2 Lada 785 8.147 -82,3% -66,8% 15,3% 17,8%
5 3 Renault 242 3.772 -71,4% -55,5% 4,7% 8,2%
8 4 Hyundai 183 3.535 -50,4% -68,4% 3,6% 7,7%
4 5 Kia 258 3.229 27,6% -65,6% 5,0% 7,0%
9 6 GAZ 170 2.429 -51,2% -53,0% 3,3% 5,3%
14 7 Volkswagen 91 1.982 -82,3% -56,2% 1,8% 4,3%
7 8 UAZ 199 1.878 -35,9% -50,8% 3,9% 4,1%
10 9 Nissan 142 1.423 -43,3% -25,5% 2,8% 3,1%
3 10 Kamaz 434 1.327 435,5% 41,9% 8,5% 2,9%
6 11 Lexus 237 1.030 288,4% 89,3% 4,6% 2,2%
18 12 Chevrolet 53 881 -54,3% -76,5% 1,0% 1,9%
19 13 Skoda 36 838 -91,7% -63,2% 0,7% 1,8%
11 14 Jac 141 622 64,2% 515,8% 2,8% 1,4%
23 15 Geely 27 495 -57,8% -74,5% 0,5% 1,1%
21 16 Hyundai Truck & Bus 35 468 19,8% 88,7% 0,7% 1,0%
26 17 Peugeot 15 457 -78,9% -13,1% 0,3% 1,0%
22 18 Ford 27 402 -35,2% -6,9% 0,5% 0,9%
12 19 Ravon 140 396 2,7% 0,9%
28 20 Mitsubishi 12 380 -52,0% -54,8% 0,2% 0,8%
15 21 BMW 72 302 795,1% 41,1% 1,4% 0,7%
37 22 Subaru 4 288 -91,6% -65,8% 0,1% 0,6%
16 23 Land Rover 60 268 122,3% -7,6% 1,2% 0,6%
13 24 Lifan 114 237 2,2% 0,5%
27 25 Mazda 14 233 -58,8% -39,9% 0,3% 0,5%
41 26 UZ-Daewoo 228 -100,0% -95,4% 0,0% 0,5%
24 27 Mercedes 25 195 80,0% 0,5% 0,5% 0,4%
41 28 MG 182 -100,0% -33,6% 0,0% 0,4%
36 29 Datsun 4 171 0,1% 0,4%
35 30 Iveco 5 130 -94,0% -69,8% 0,1% 0,3%
38 31 SsangYong 3 119 -80,0% -85,3% 0,1% 0,3%
32 32 Infiniti 7 99 -32,3% -61,5% 0,1% 0,2%
29 33 Audi 9 97 -60,9% -30,7% 0,2% 0,2%
17 34 Ural 59 95 1,2% 0,2%
25 35 Foton 25 87 0,5% 0,2%
20 36 Mercedes Trucks 36 78 0,7% 0,2%
40 37 Scania 1 58 0,0% 0,1%
31 38 Isuzu 8 54 0,2% 0,1%
36 39 Suzuki 4 52 0,1% 0,1%
34 40 Porsche 6 40 0,1% 0,1%
30 41 Jaguar 8 36 0,2% 0,1%
27 42 Shacman 14 23 0,3% 0,1%
42 43 DAF (0) 17
33 44 Opel 7 11 0,1%
45 Ford Truck 7
39 45 Man 2 7
41 46 Mini 6
41 47 Nefaz 2

Rank Dec Rank 2016 GROUP Sales December Sales 2016 FY Variation December Variation 2016 FY Share December Share 2016 FY
2 1 Renault-Nissan 1.181 13.612 -78,7% -61,3% 23,0% 29,7%
1 2 Toyota 1.653 10.089 151,2% 29,7% 32,2% 22,0%
3 3 Hyundai-Kia 476 7.232 -20,8% -65,2% 9,3% 15,8%
8 4 Volkswagen 145 3.022 -85,2% -57,8% 2,8% 6,6%
7 5 GAZ Group 170 2.429 -51,2% -53,0% 3,3% 5,3%
6 6 UAZ 199 1.878 -35,9% -50,8% 3,9% 4,1%
5 7 General Motors 199 1.516 -78,0% -82,7% 3,9% 3,3%
4 8 Kamaz 434 1.327 435,5% 41,9% 8,5% 2,9%
9 9 JAC 141 622 64,2% 515,8% 2,8% 1,4%
16 10 Geely Group 27 495 -57,8% -74,5% 0,5% 1,1%

Rank Dec Rank 2016 Model Sales December Sales 2016 Variation December Variation 2016
4 1 Toyota Camry 287 3.190 120,8% 59,2%
6 2 GAZ Gazelle 221 2.287 -31,8% -51,5%
56 3 Lada Priora 6 2.285 -98,2% -61,7%
3 4 Lada 4×4 362 2.261 59,5% -7,0%
17 5 Lada Granta 93 1.883 -91,7% -74,2%
11 6 Renault Duster 127 1.816 -59,9% -50,3%
23 7 Volkswagen Polo 74 1.534 -82,6% -57,6%
38 8 Hyundai Accent 32 1.468 -97,2% -80,2%
7 9 Toyota Prado 186 1.452 257,7% 16,5%
2 10 Kamaz all models 384 1.320 374,1% 41,2%
9 11 Toyota Land Cruiser 155 1.281 66,7% 78,2%
21 12 Renault Sandero 84 1.219 -76,7% -46,6%
8 13 Toyota RAV4 157 1.213 946,7% 104,2%
32 14 Kia Rio 48 1.176 -91,3% -79,8%
15 15 UAZ Bukhanka 97 1.068 -59,6% -39,2%
12 16 Hyundai Elantra 116 976 152,2% -55,9%
1 17 Toyota Corolla 437 880 628,3% 25,7%
20 18 Lada Largus 89 783 -91,3% -86,6%
24 19 Kia Sportage 72 705 500,0% -36,0%
27 20 Toyota Hilux 65 693 -70,6% -6,6%
32 21 Renault Logan 48 630 -71,6% -70,8%
14 22 Lada Kalina 102 626 -78,0% -78,6%
57 23 Skoda Rapid 5 486 -80,8% -64,0%
26 24 Lexus LX 66 462 57,1% 106,3%
50 25 Nissan Qashqai 12 454 -40,0% 36,7%

(133)

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