Russian Car Sales in July dropped 27% keeping the nightmare live.

russian car sales

Russian Car Sales in July dropped 27% keeping the nightmare live and projecting the entire 2015 sales volume a bit over the 1.6 million. Hyundai Solaris was the best-selling model followed by Kia Rio and Lada Granta.

Economic Outlook

Following lackluster economic growth in 2014, the Russian economy entered into contraction mode in Q1 as a combination of international sanctions, low oil prices, high inflation and the resulting deteriorating business and consumer confidence all impacted on economic growth. GDP contracted 2.2% annually in Q1 and more recent data point to a sharper economic fall in Q2: in June, industrial production plummeted for a third consecutive month while exports registered the eighth month of contraction at a double-digit rate.

The more recent consumer confidence indicator and manufacturing PMI suggest that the worst may not be over for the Russian economy. Meanwhile, the government welcomed the mid-July agreement between Iran and six global powers (P5+1), which lifted financial sanctions on the country in return for scaling back its nuclear program.

Although the deal may have some negative implications for Russia’s oil exports and budget—Iranian oil output could cause prices to fall further—Moscow could benefit from increased trade and investment opportunities as well as arms sales.

Market Outlook

Despite in the last sixth month the Ukraine crisis dropped out of global newspapers front pages, the effect of harsh US and EU sanctions to Russia are still killing several strategic sectors, including the automotive.

Just few years ago, Russian government was proud of its booming car sector and when the annual volume peaked up 2.92 million units was just the 2012, a bit before the start of the fall.  In the 2015 the sales will be just over the 1.6 million and next year should be lower.

Indeed, following the 36.4% fall reported for the first half, the second started badly as well. According to data released by the Association of European Businesses in Russia, new light passengers vehicles sold in June have been 131.087, down 27.5% compared with the correspondent month last year. It was only the second month this year losing only in one digit.

During the first seventh month of the year, sales had been 913.473, down 35.2% from the correspondent period last year.

Competitive Arena

In July, Autovaz has lost 25.2% at 20.944 units with market share at 16.0%. In second place, Kia sold 13.346 vehicles (-12.8%) reducing the year to date gap over the “sister” Hyundai. Now Kia has sold 89.561 vehicles during this year and Hyundai 92.395.

Behind, all challengers have performed with over 20% losses.

As far as the group performance, Renault-Nissan led the market with July market share at 29.5% while Hyundai Group kept reducing the gap and now is at 19.5% followed by Volkswagen at 9.8% and Toyota at 8.6%.

As far as the best-selling models, leader in July was the Hyundai Solaris with 10.251 sales (+4.8%) followed by the Kia Rio with 9.151 (+33.5%) while the year to date leader, Lada Granta, was third with 9.105 units (-23.0%).

Below, you can sort our interactive tables to see data regarding Brands, Groups and Models. Please bear in mind that sales data are subject to adjustments as sources will update their information. This report is updated at the publishing date and will not be modified while the next on this subject will report year to date data updated.

Rank Jul Rank Ytd Brand Jul 2015 YTD Jul Jul Var Var Ytd 15 Share Jul Share YTD
1 1 Lada 20.944 161.620 -25,2% -26,8% 16,0% 17,7%
2 3 Kia 13.346 89.561 -12,8% -18,0% 10,2% 9,8%
3 2 Hyundai 12.251 92.395 -15,3% -11,2% 9,3% 10,1%
4 4 Renault 9.917 67.033 -34,8% -40,0% 7,6% 7,3%
5 5 Toyota 9.604 56.676 -27,9% -36,9% 7,3% 6,2%
6 7 Volkswagen 6.241 45.874 -36,4% -45,5% 4,8% 5,0%
7 10 Chevrolet 6.228 28.911 -26,4% -60,8% 4,8% 3,2%
8 6 Nissan 5.207 55.759 -43,0% -39,1% 4,0% 6,1%
9 12 Uaz 5.129 24.336 70,9% 7,9% 3,9% 2,7%
10 8 Skoda 4.185 32.228 -40,8% -34,4% 3,2% 3,5%
11 11 Gaz 4.139 27.565 -25,0% -26,1% 3,2% 3,0%
12 9 Mercedes 3.633 29.776 -26,2% -6,8% 2,8% 3,3%
13 15 Ford 3.541 17.191 -21,3% -52,0% 2,7% 1,9%
14 13 Mitsubishi 2.506 21.865 -28,4% -47,9% 1,9% 2,4%
15 14 Datsun 2.288 20.746 1,7% 2,3%
16 17 Mazda 2.270 14.809 -39,4% -46,2% 1,7% 1,6%
17 20 Opel 2.268 11.322 -54,0% -70,5% 1,7% 1,2%
18 16 BMW 2.180 16.690 -5,3% -22,3% 1,7% 1,8%
19 18 Audi 2.003 14.158 -23,0% -31,2% 1,5% 1,5%
20 19 Daewoo 1.672 12.029 -41,1% -55,2% 1,3% 1,3%
21 21 Lexus 1.661 11.116 5,5% 7,9% 1,3% 1,2%
22 23 Lifan 1.383 6.016 -25,7% -49,9% 1,1% 0,7%
23 24 Geely 1.223 5.046 -9,5% -52,7% 0,9% 0,6%
24 22 Land Rover 759 6.495 -55,8% -46,3% 0,6% 0,7%
25 25 Subaru 613 4.155 -46,5% -55,5% 0,5% 0,5%
26 30 Suzuki 612 3.292 -46,6% -70,2% 0,5% 0,4%
27 27 SsangYong 581 3.671 -76,0% -73,5% 0,4% 0,4%
28 28 Peugeot 541 3.365 -59,6% -75,1% 0,4% 0,4%
29 30 Citroen 463 3.292 -67,5% -73,6% 0,4% 0,4%
30 31 Porsche 460 3.029 19,5% 18,5% 0,4% 0,3%
31 33 Honda 454 2.742 -64,5% -77,9% 0,3% 0,3%
31 26 Volvo 454 3.849 -56,9% -57,7% 0,3% 0,4%
32 32 Chery 440 2.944 -63,8% -71,6% 0,3% 0,3%
33 29 Infiniti 320 3.299 -14,4% -30,4% 0,2% 0,4%
34 35 Fiat 308 2.190 -43,1% -48,4% 0,2% 0,2%
35 34 Great Wall 274 2.629 -79,0% -72,0% 0,2% 0,3%
36 41 Dongfeng 151 474 0,1% 0,1%
37 36 Jeep 150 1.368 -73,8% -69,3% 0,1% 0,1%
38 37 Mini 126 813 -18,7% -15,7% 0,1% 0,1%
39 39 Jaguar 110 527 -18,5% -46,3% 0,1% 0,1%
40 38 Cadillac 96 560 18,5% -28,9% 0,1% 0,1%
41 42 Acura 75 409 17,2% 0,2% 0,1% 0,0%
42 45 ChangAn 59 213 -32,4% -65,1% 0,0% 0,0%
43 40 Brilliance 58 525 16,0% 126,3% 0,0% 0,1%
44 46 BAW 47 186 -34,7% -74,2% 0,0% 0,0%
45 44 Smart 43 293 38,7% 56,7% 0,0% 0,0%
46 43 Isuzu 42 344 -43,2% 36,0% 0,0% 0,0%
47 47 Haima 20 135 -77,0% -67,6% 0,0% 0,0%
48 48 Jac 7 120 -87,9% -36,5% 0,0% 0,0%
49 50 Chrysler 3 27 -62,5% -68,2% 0,0% 0,0%
50 51 Alfa Romeo 2 15 -75,0% -59,5% 0,0% 0,0%

Rank Jul Rank Ytd Group Jul 2015 YTD Jul Jul Var Var Ytd 15 Share Jul Share YTD
1 1 Renault-Nissan 38.676 308.457 -26,7% -28,0% 29,5% 33,8%
2 2 Hyundai-Kia 25.597 181.956 -14,0% -14,7% 19,5% 19,9%
3 3 Volkswagen 12.889 95.336 -35,6% -39,5% 9,8% 10,4%
4 4 Toyota 11.265 67.792 -24,3% -32,3% 8,6% 7,4%
5 5 General Motors 10.264 52.822 -37,0% -62,2% 7,8% 5,8%
6 8 UAZ 5.129 24.336 70,9% 7,9% 3,9% 2,7%
7 7 GAZ Group 4.139 27.565 -25,0% -26,1% 3,2% 3,0%
8 6 Mercedes Daimler 3.676 30.069 -25,8% -6,4% 2,8% 3,3%
9 11 Ford 3.541 17.191 -21,3% -52,0% 2,7% 1,9%
10 9 Mitsubishi 2.506 21.865 -28,4% -47,9% 1,9% 2,4%

Rank Jul Rank 2015 Model Jul 2015 Ytd July Var July Var YTD Share Jul Share Ytd
1 2 Hyundai Solaris 10.251 63.953 4,8% -2,1% 7,8% 7,0%
2 3 Kia Rio 9.151 51.839 33,5% -4,1% 7,0% 5,7%
3 1 Lada Granta 9.105 72.726 -23,0% -16,7% 6,9% 8,0%
4 4 Volkswagen Polo 3.685 24.306 -16,0% -33,5% 2,8% 2,7%
5 5 Renault Logan 3.684 24.048 -34,6% -20,7% 2,8% 2,6%
6 12 Lada Priora 3.547 16.970 3,4% -40,0% 2,7% 1,9%
7 10 Toyota Camry 3.508 18.788 12,4% -2,7% 2,7% 2,1%
8 11 Toyota RAV4 3.131 17.483 25,8% -18,2% 2,4% 1,9%
9 7 Renault Duster 3.033 23.338 -46,7% -50,1% 2,3% 2,6%
10 13 Renault Sandero 3.007 16.475 29,9% -23,1% 2,3% 1,8%
11 6 Lada Kalina 2.849 23.730 -35,8% -40,5% 2,2% 2,6%
12 8 Lada Largus 2.711 22.437 -43,5% -35,4% 2,1% 2,5%
13 14 Chevrolet Niva 2.671 16.432 -0,8% -30,2% 2,0% 1,8%
14 9 Lada 4×4 2.177 21.901 -16,4% 2,9% 1,7% 2,4%
15 17 Skoda Rapid 1.900 14.085 -26,3% 105,7% 1,4% 1,5%
16 18 Skoda Octavia 1.746 12.745 -33,7% -42,2% 1,3% 1,4%
17 15 Datsun on-DO 1.640 15.589 1,3% 1,7%
18 21 Kia Cee’d 1.637 11.352 -42,7% -29,5% 1,2% 1,2%
19 19 Nissan X-Trail 1.635 12.141 -16,8% -11,7% 1,2% 1,3%
20 24 Mazda CX-5 1.578 9.458 -11,3% -17,9% 1,2% 1,0%
21 23 UAZ Patriot 1.553 9.881 -11,5% -19,6% 1,2% 1,1%
22 26 Mitsubishi Outlander 1.487 8.382 28,5% -38,1% 1,1% 0,9%
23 25 Toyota Land Cruiser 1.461 8.740 19,5% 2,2% 1,1% 1,0%
24 27 Toyota Corolla 1.250 7.905 -51,6% -55,0% 1,0% 0,9%
25 22 Kia Sportage 1.126 10.960 -45,3% -33,6% 0,9% 1,2%

(980)

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