Russian new vehicles sales down a record 43% in November. Lada presents the new Vesta.

Russian new vehicles sales down a record 42.7% in November albeit the launch of the new domestic model, the Lada Vesta. Economic data of the Q3 had been below the expectations with recession at 4.3%. The end of the fall is far.

Economic Outlook

The economic recession in Russia hit rock bottom in mid-2015. A preliminary estimate shows that GDP decreased 4.1% in Q3 over the same quarter last year, which is up from the 4.6% contraction observed in Q2 when the economy experienced the worst contraction in six years.

Lower oil prices, a decline in real wages, the weakening of the ruble and the impact from external economic factors continued to weigh on the Russian economy in Q3.

However, initial signs of stabilization are coming from the industrial sector, while performance in the agricultural sector is also looking better. On 22 November, the Crimean Peninsula was left in the dark when individuals suspected of belonging to the Right Sector (a Ukrainian nationalist militia) blew up power pylons in the Kherson region of Ukraine that supply energy to Crimea.

The outage has raised tensions with Russia, though it is not likely to take a combative approach to Ukraine at the moment as Moscow is looking to build an international coalition against the Islamic State in Syria. Moreover, the blackout in Crimea has been overshadowed by Turkey shooting down a Russian military aircraft due to allegations that Russia has repeatedly violated Turkish airspace. The incident is likely to have serious implications for Moscow’s relations with Ankara.

Market Outlook

In November domestic car sales had been reported down for the 11th month in a series with an impressive level of fall, the deeper this year with -42.7% from November 2014.

According to data released by AEB, the Association of European Businesses in Russia, in November light vehicles sales had been 131.574, down 42.7% and total sales year to date had been 1.454.810, -34.5% from the correspondent period last year.

Despite the elaunch of the new Vesta, Lada reported only 21.580 sales (-29.0%) with 16.4% of market share. Hyundai in second place sold 15.101 units (-6.5%) while Kia in third 14.125 (-31.7%). All the other followers reported harsh performances: Renault was 4th with 10.334 units (-46.1%) followed by Volkswagen with 8.022 (-33.8%), Toyota with 7.582 (-52.5%), Nissan with 7.228 (-53.2%) and Skoda with 4.663 (-38.75).

At Group level, Renault-Nissan alliance reported 31.8% of market share followed by Hyundai-Kia Group with 22.2%, Volkswagen group with 11.6% and Toyota with 7.0%.

The best-selling model was again the Hyundai Solaris with 11.462 sales (+13.1%) followed by the Lada Granta with 9.000 (-14.4%) and the Kia Rio with 8.253 (-23.8%). The new Lada Vesta landed in 21st place with 1.748 sales.

To see the details on the best-selling cars with the ranking of the best 100 models, see the report here

Below, you can sort our interactive tables to see data regarding Brands, Groups and Models. Please bear in mind that sales data are subject to adjustments as sources will update their information. This report is updated at the publishing date and will not be modified while the next on this subject will report year to date data updated.

Rank Nov Rank 2015 Brand Nov YTD Nov Var Nov Var 2015 Nov 2015
1 1 Lada 21.580 245.624 -29,0% -30,2% 16,4% 16,9%
2 2 Hyundai 15.101 149.331 -6,5% -9,2% 11,5% 10,3%
3 3 Kia 14.125 148.285 -31,7% -15,5% 10,7% 10,2%
4 4 Renault 10.334 108.477 -46,1% -38,1% 7,9% 7,5%
5 7 Volkswagen 8.022 75.536 -33,8% -39,9% 6,1% 5,2%
6 5 Toyota 7.572 86.972 -52,5% -39,8% 5,8% 6,0%
7 6 Nissan 7.288 82.690 -53,2% -41,7% 5,5% 5,7%
8 8 Skoda 4.663 50.416 -38,7% -35,5% 3,5% 3,5%
9 12 Uaz 4.637 42.415 -18,1% -0,5% 3,5% 2,9%
10 11 Gaz 4.358 46.093 -35,2% -25,0% 3,3% 3,2%
11 10 Mercedes 3.849 46.270 -31,2% -12,8% 2,9% 3,2%
12 13 Ford 3.569 34.077 -45,8% -40,0% 2,7% 2,3%
13 9 Chevrolet 3.072 46.399 -70,9% -57,7% 2,3% 3,2%
14 16 BMW 2.257 25.349 -28,3% -20,6% 1,7% 1,7%
15 15 Datsun 2.200 29.346 -45,2% 365,1% 1,7% 2,0%
16 18 Audi 2.189 23.310 -18,4% -24,9% 1,7% 1,6%
17 14 Mitsubishi 2.003 33.142 -74,5% -50,9% 1,5% 2,3%
18 17 Mazda 2.002 25.182 -56,0% -42,3% 1,5% 1,7%
19 22 Lifan 1.901 12.578 3,1% -36,3% 1,4% 0,9%
20 20 Lexus 1.653 18.038 -23,5% 2,1% 1,3% 1,2%
21 19 Daewoo 1.634 18.753 -13,2% -47,0% 1,2% 1,3%
22 23 Geely 1.002 10.485 -37,5% -35,0% 0,8% 0,7%
23 24 Land Rover 965 10.450 -50,0% -45,2% 0,7% 0,7%
24 25 Volvo 850 6.807 -33,2% -51,3% 0,6% 0,5%
25 21 Opel 473 15.927 -92,1% -72,6% 0,4% 1,1%
26 30 Infiniti 457 5.012 -44,4% -32,2% 0,3% 0,3%
27 26 Subaru 398 6.237 -79,1% -58,2% 0,3% 0,4%
28 27 Suzuki 392 5.816 -81,0% -66,5% 0,3% 0,4%
29 32 Porsche 360 4.829 -23,6% 19,8% 0,3% 0,3%
30 28 Peugeot 320 5.211 -78,7% -72,5% 0,2% 0,4%
31 29 Citroen 314 5.120 -78,2% -71,1% 0,2% 0,4%
32 33 Chery 279 4.587 -80,3% -69,9% 0,2% 0,3%
33 35 Fiat 260 3.435 -61,6% -49,4% 0,2% 0,2%
34 31 SsangYong 199 4.934 -91,4% -78,2% 0,2% 0,3%
35 34 Honda 198 4.357 -90,0% -76,5% 0,2% 0,3%
36 39 Dongfeng 163 1.042 0,1% 0,1%
37 40 Brilliance 138 1.038 3,8% 59,7% 0,1% 0,1%
38 41 Cadillac 131 935 21,3% -19,9% 0,1% 0,1%
39 37 Jeep 95 1.921 -87,2% -73,2% 0,1% 0,1%
40 38 Mini 94 1.255 -47,2% -18,4% 0,1% 0,1%
41 45 ChangAn 92 500 -2,1% -49,8% 0,1% 0,0%
42 42 Jaguar 69 900 -43,9% -40,2% 0,1% 0,1%
43 36 Great Wall 68 3.149 -94,1% -77,7% 0,1% 0,2%
44 44 Isuzu 66 560 -41,1% -3,1% 0,1% 0,0%
45 43 Acura 57 670 -65,0% -18,2% 0,0% 0,0%
46 47 Haima 52 311 -41,6% -60,1% 0,0% 0,0%
47 46 Smart 31 441 -18,4% 34,5% 0,0% 0,0%
48 48 BAW 23 308 -55,8% -69,7% 0,0% 0,0%
49 49 Jac 8 145 -77,1% -62,2% 0,0% 0,0%
50 51 Chrysler 4 41 -20,0% -61,7% 0,0% 0,0%
50 52 Alfa Romeo 4 39 -33,3% -51,9% 0,0% 0,0%
51 54 Foton 1 18 -50,0% -71,4% 0,0% 0,0%

Rank Nov Rank 2015 Group Nov YTD Nov Var Nov Var 2015 Nov 2015
1 1 Renault-Nissan 41.859 471.149 -40,2% -31,0% 31,8% 32,4%
2 2 Hyundai-Kia 29.226 297.616 -20,7% -12,4% 22,2% 20,5%
3 3 Volkswagen 15.234 154.159 -33,9% -35,9% 11,6% 10,6%
4 4 Toyota 9.225 105.010 -49,1% -35,2% 7,0% 7,2%
5 5 General Motors 5.310 82.014 -71,3% -59,9% 4,0% 5,6%
6 8 UAZ 4.637 42.415 -18,1% -0,5% 3,5% 2,9%
7 7 GAZ Group 4.358 46.093 -35,2% -25,0% 3,3% 3,2%
8 6 Mercedes Daimler 3.880 46.711 -31,1% -12,5% 2,9% 3,2%
9 9 Ford 3.569 34.077 -45,8% -40,0% 2,7% 2,3%
10 11 BMW 2.351 26.604 -29,4% -20,5% 1,8% 1,8%

Rank Nov Rank 2015 Model Nov 2015 Var Nov Var 2015 Nov % 2015 %
1 2 Hyundai Solaris 11.462 106.509 13,1% 1,3% 9,1% 7,4%
2 1 Lada Granta 9.000 108.653 -14,4% -22,1% 7,1% 7,5%
3 3 Kia Rio 8.253 88.920 -23,8% 7,0% 6,5% 6,1%
4 5 Volkswagen Polo 4.732 40.747 15,5% -22,4% 3,7% 2,8%
5 6 Renault Duster 4.312 38.625 -38,5% -43,5% 3,4% 2,7%
6 4 GAZ Gazelle 4.307 42.000 -19,4% -28,5% 3,4% 2,9%
7 7 Renault Logan 3.208 37.754 -55,1% -27,5% 2,5% 2,6%
8 8 Lada Largus 3.122 35.928 -72,4% -40,5% 2,5% 2,5%
9 11 Chevrolet Niva 2.993 28.350 -31,0% -23,3% 2,4% 2,0%
10 14 Lada Priora 2.678 25.669 -32,6% -39,8% 2,1% 1,8%
11 12 Renault Sandero 2.394 27.575 -29,3% -17,1% 1,9% 1,9%
12 17 Skoda Rapid 2.333 22.268 -16,0% 24,8% 1,8% 1,5%
13 10 Lada 4×4 2.276 32.541 -41,2% -10,6% 1,8% 2,2%
14 22 UAZ Bukhanka 2.262 18.302 188,5% 44,9% 1,8% 1,3%
15 21 Kia Sportage 2.172 18.420 -35,1% -29,8% 1,7% 1,3%
16 9 Lada Kalina 2.073 34.084 -56,1% -42,6% 1,6% 2,4%
17 15 Nissan Almera 2.058 24.077 -43,6% -37,0% 1,6% 1,7%
18 16 Toyota RAV4 1.919 23.691 -59,8% -30,6% 1,5% 1,6%
19 20 Nissan X-Trail 1.897 18.434 -3,4% -10,6% 1,5% 1,3%
20 13 Toyota Camry 1.756 27.307 -25,7% -8,8% 1,4% 1,9%
21 116 Lada Vesta 1.748 1.748 1,4% 0,1%
22 35 Toyota Land Cruiser 1.744 9.324 42,7% -30,6% 1,4% 0,6%
23 23 UAZ Patriot 1.731 17.753 -1,3% 16,0% 1,4% 1,2%
24 19 Skoda Octavia 1.566 19.914 -45,7% -39,7% 1,2% 1,4%
25 18 Datsun on-DO 1.506 22.068 -62,5% 249,7% 1,2% 1,5%
26 24 Kia Cee’d 1.404 17.627 -44,8% -27,2% 1,1% 1,2%
27 31 Volkswagen Jetta 1.312 10.641 -33,2% -50,7% 1,0% 0,7%
28 25 Mazda CX-5 1.211 16.178 -49,4% -12,9% 1,0% 1,1%
29 77 Hyundai Tucosn 1.200 3.555 1,0% 0,2%
30 27 Mitsubishi Outlander 777 14.753 -83,6% -34,9% 0,6% 1,0%

To know more about the market with a review of all last years statistics and the forecast towards the 2015, read the just published research:

 

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