Russia: June ’12 market on fire! But Autovaz sales are falling down.

With the 27th consecutive year-on-year increase, June market performance was the second best ever, exceeding expectations. The Automobile Manufacturers Committee (AEB) forecast a full year 2012 above 2.8 millions. Focus2move.com projection is stable at 2.85 million units, up 7.4% from 2011.

Russia is considered a key export market by Chinese car makers, probably because the traditional consumers are purchasing low cost and low quality products. In first half 2012 all Chinese players have more than doubled sales in Russia, with Lifan at 9.639 units, Chery at 8.538, Geely at 6.263, Great Wall at 5.893 and BYD at 1.568. Others makers are coming. In June Faw Group signed an agreement with Russian dealership network Queen Group to import 33.000 vehicles to the country within the next three years.

June confirmed that Lada (Autovaz) is falling down. The domestic car maker sold 45.032 vehicles with a share of 16.5%, the worst ever, 1.2 points of share down from May. Chevrolet was the second, with 20.746 units and a share of 7.6%, up 0.2 points, the best this year. The American brand is close to surpass Renault in the year to date ranking and will probably achieve this step next month.

Renault was third in the month, with 19.859 units and a share of 7.3%, up 0.2 from previous month, the best this year. Volkswagen was 4th in June, with 17.167 units and a share of 6.3%, ahead of Kia and Hyundai. The competitors between the second and the sixth position are all very close and the battle for the second position is really interesting.

Imagine being in England during a fox hunting event. Lada could be the fox, all others makes are the dogs. Lada advantage is high, but its destiny is already decided.

In seventh position, Nissan sold 13.658 units with a share of 5.0%, up 0.4 from May, but down 0.6 from Year to date.

In the table below, the Top 30 Brands ranked by year to date position:

Rank

Brand

Jun

Ytd Jun

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Ytd Jun

1

Lada (Autovaz)

45.032

250.732

19,0%

17,8%

17,3%

18,9%

17,7%

16,5%

17,8%

2

Renault

19.859

95.579

7,1%

6,2%

6,2%

6,8%

7,1%

7,3%

6,8%

3

Chevrolet

20.746

95.534

6,3%

6,4%

6,1%

6,5%

7,4%

7,6%

6,8%

4

Kia

17.307

90.997

7,2%

6,4%

6,0%

6,5%

6,5%

6,4%

6,5%

5

Hyundai

16.097

89.243

6,7%

7,1%

6,5%

6,0%

6,2%

5,9%

6,3%

6

Volkswagen

17.167

89.079

6,6%

6,2%

6,6%

6,2%

6,2%

6,3%

6,3%

7

Nissan

13.658

79.494

7,0%

6,9%

6,8%

4,5%

4,6%

5,0%

5,6%

8

Toyota

14.145

76.809

5,2%

5,5%

5,6%

5,9%

5,3%

5,2%

5,5%

9

Ford

12.699

63.351

4,3%

4,5%

4,6%

4,7%

4,2%

4,7%

4,5%

10

Skoda

9.552

45.982

3,1%

3,1%

3,2%

3,3%

3,2%

3,5%

3,3%

11

Daewoo

9.256

41.446

3,1%

2,0%

2,1%

3,4%

3,5%

3,4%

2,9%

12

Gaz

8.333

39.738

2,6%

2,8%

2,8%

2,9%

2,8%

3,1%

2,8%

13

Opel

7.588

39.652

2,9%

2,9%

2,8%

2,7%

2,9%

2,8%

2,8%

14

Mitsubishi

6.042

32.217

2,0%

2,2%

2,2%

2,4%

2,6%

2,2%

2,3%

15

Uaz

5.418

27.922

1,9%

2,0%

1,9%

2,1%

2,0%

2,0%

2,0%

16

Mazda

4.515

23.605

1,0%

2,0%

2,9%

0,8%

1,5%

1,7%

1,7%

17

Peugeot

4.188

22.443

1,8%

1,7%

1,7%

1,5%

1,5%

1,5%

1,6%

18

Suzuki

3.219

17.446

1,1%

1,1%

1,2%

1,5%

1,4%

1,2%

1,2%

19

Citroen

3.063

16.908

1,2%

1,2%

1,3%

1,2%

1,2%

1,1%

1,2%

20

Mercedes

3.304

16.702

1,0%

1,3%

1,2%

1,1%

1,2%

1,2%

1,2%

21

BMW

3.386

16.657

1,0%

1,2%

1,3%

1,1%

1,2%

1,2%

1,2%

22

Audi

3.052

16.563

0,9%

1,1%

1,4%

1,2%

1,2%

1,1%

1,2%

23

Ssanyong

2.910

14.877

1,0%

1,1%

1,0%

1,1%

1,1%

1,1%

1,1%

24

Volvo

2.426

10.182

0,3%

0,6%

0,8%

0,8%

0,8%

0,9%

0,7%

25

Honda

2.070

9.634

0,3%

0,4%

0,6%

0,9%

0,9%

0,8%

0,7%

26

Land Rover

2.039

9.492

0,4%

0,9%

0,8%

0,6%

0,6%

0,7%

0,7%

27

Lifan

1.659

9.369

0,7%

0,8%

0,7%

0,7%

0,5%

0,6%

0,7%

28

Chery

1.710

8.538

0,5%

0,5%

0,6%

0,7%

0,6%

0,6%

0,6%

29

Subaru

1.365

7.059

0,5%

0,6%

0,4%

0,5%

0,5%

0,5%

0,5%

30

Lexus

1.603

6.737

0,4%

0,4%

0,4%

0,6%

0,5%

0,6%

0,5%

Looking at the best selling models performance, the Lada Kalina was able to confirm its leadership in spite of 12.616 sales were only 4.6% of total market. All the Top models were losing share versus previous month. Lada Priora was second with 10.500 units, ahead of Hyundai Solaris, with 9.500.

Looking at the model list, we found just marginal changes over previous months.

In the table below, the Top 25 models ranked for Year to date position:

Rank

Model

Jun

YTD Jun

Apr

May

Jun

YTD Jun

2011 Ranking

1

Lada Kalina

12.616

67.526

5,3%

5,1%

4,6%

4,8%

1

2

Lada Priora

10.552

59.541

4,3%

3,9%

3,9%

4,2%

2

3

Hyundai Solaris

9.515

58.020

4,2%

4,0%

3,5%

4,1%

5

4

Ford Focus

8.862

45.231

3,4%

3,0%

3,3%

3,2%

6

5

Lada Granta

8.597

45.131

3,7%

3,8%

3,2%

3,2%

new

6

Kia Rio

7.803

42.019

3,1%

3,0%

2,9%

3,0%

12

7

Renault Logan

5.991

37.272

2,8%

2,6%

2,2%

2,6%

7

8

Volkswagen Polo

6.830

35.547

2,5%

2,6%

2,5%

2,5%

11

9

Lada Samara

6.017

32.050

2,2%

2,2%

2,2%

2,3%

3

10

Chevrolet Niva

5.286

29.805

2,0%

2,0%

1,9%

2,1%

10

11

Chevrolet Cruze

6.868

28.867

2,1%

2,4%

2,5%

2,1%

18

12

Renault Sandero

4.368

27.978

2,0%

1,9%

1,6%

2,0%

14

13

Opel Astra

5.000

27.658

1,9%

2,0%

1,8%

2,0%

13

14

Lada 4×4

4.481

26.506

1,8%

1,7%

1,6%

1,9%

8

15

Daewoo Nexia

5.553

24.671

2,0%

2,1%

2,0%

1,8%

9

16

Skoda Octavia

4.542

23.952

1,7%

1,7%

1,7%

1,7%

16

17

Lada 2104-2107

2.769

19.976

1,7%

1,0%

1,0%

1,4%

18

Nissan Qashqai

3.839

19.085

1,2%

1,3%

1,4%

1,4%

19

19

Toyota Corolla

3.367

17.421

1,2%

1,3%

1,2%

1,2%

22

20

Chevrolet Lacetti

3.681

16.882

1,1%

1,3%

1,4%

1,2%

15

21

Toyota Camry

3.335

16.810

1,3%

1,1%

1,2%

1,2%

22

Daewoo Matiz

3.703

16.775

0,0%

1,4%

1,4%

1,2%

23

Nissan Juke

2.760

16.398

0,8%

0,9%

1,0%

1,2%

24

Volkswagen Tiguan

2.630

16.234

1,1%

1,0%

1,0%

1,2%

25

Kia Sportage

2.700

15.568

1,1%

1,1%

1,0%

1,1%

24

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