Russian vehicles demand crumbled with October sales down 38%.

Russian vehicles demand

Russian vehicles demand crumbled with October sales down 38% posting the 32nd year-on-year decline out of the last 34 months. Only Geely reported a positive figures while Hyundai was the only loser in single-digit.

Economic Outlook

After having suffered its worst contraction in six years in Q2, data available so far for Q3 indicate that the economy has bottomed out. Industrial production continued to decrease in September, but the contraction was the softest in the last six months.

On the external front, the pace of contraction in exports, although still dramatic, also saw a moderation in September. Russian consumers were a bit more pessimistic in Q3, as high inflation and low wages are denting their purchasing power. On 30 September, the Federation Council (the upper house of Parliament) approved the use of military forces in Syria.

Russia’s military involvement in Syria aims to support the regime of Bashar al-Assad—a key regional ally that is losing ground in the civil war—but it may also be aimed at diverting attention away from the Ukraine conflict and positioning Russia as a key player in regional security. However, the number of external players involved in the Syrian civil war and their conflicting agendas pose a significant risk of a clash, which could spark an international crisis.

Market Outlook

In case of domestic vehicles market the Russian crisis has not bottomed out, despite the last heavy contraction was the 32nd out of the last 34 months and was one of the highest.

Facts are heavy and the financial situation for the entire industry is heavy, with several dealers reporting huge lost and the entire distribution channel and review for several brands. OEMS that are locally producing are reporting lost and have reduced production at the minimum level since 2010.

According to data released by AEB, the Association of European Businesses in Russia, in October light vehicles sales had been 129.958, down 38.5% and total sales year to date had been 1.323.238, -33.5% from the correspondent period last year.

Only the Korean Hyundai is reporting single digit lost. Lada in October sold 20.592 (-45.5%) while the second, Kia, 14.422 (-17.1%) and Hyundai 14.145 (-8.1%). The Chinese Geely was up 0.9% with 1.376 units sold.

Below, you can sort our interactive tables to see data regarding Brands, Groups and Models. Please bear in mind that sales data are subject to adjustments as sources will update their information. This report is updated at the publishing date and will not be modified while the next on this subject will report year to date data updated.

Rank OctRank 2015BrandSales OctSales 2015Var OctVar 2015Share OctShare 2015
11Lada20.592224.044-45,5%-30,3%15,8%16,9%
23Kia14.422134.160-17,1%-13,3%11,1%10,1%
32Hyundai14.145134.230-8,1%-9,5%10,9%10,1%
44Renault10.81698.143-35,1%-37,1%8,3%7,4%
57Volkswagen7.39567.514-28,2%-40,5%5,7%5,1%
65Toyota6.68879.400-48,1%-38,2%5,1%6,0%
76Nissan6.09075.402-48,9%-40,3%4,7%5,7%
812Uaz5.27037.778-23,0%2,2%4,1%2,9%
911Gaz4.84441.735-26,2%-23,8%3,7%3,2%
108Skoda4.61545.753-38,0%-35,2%3,6%3,5%
1114Ford3.96230.508-25,1%-39,3%3,0%2,3%
1210Mercedes3.94742.421-27,2%-10,6%3,0%3,2%
139Chevrolet3.48543.327-62,0%-56,3%2,7%3,3%
1413Mitsubishi3.04831.139-57,2%-47,7%2,3%2,4%
1516Mazda2.23623.180-41,8%-40,7%1,7%1,8%
1618Audi2.15521.121-17,9%-25,5%1,7%1,6%
1717BMW2.08223.092-15,4%-19,8%1,6%1,7%
1822Lifan1.78710.677-13,5%-40,4%1,4%0,8%
1919Daewoo1.62117.119-10,9%-48,9%1,2%1,3%
2024Geely1.3769.4830,9%-34,7%1,1%0,7%
2115Datsun1.20127.146-32,5%1080,8%0,9%2,1%
2220Lexus1.19916.385-28,5%5,7%0,9%1,2%
2323Land Rover9259.485-46,5%-44,7%0,7%0,7%
2425Volvo6245.957-45,1%-53,1%0,5%0,5%
2521Opel54415.454-88,4%-70,4%0,4%1,2%
2627Suzuki5105.424-66,5%-64,5%0,4%0,4%
2726Subaru5005.839-65,0%-55,2%0,4%0,4%
2832Porsche4584.469-4,6%25,6%0,4%0,3%
2933Chery4274.308-63,9%-68,8%0,3%0,3%
3029Citroen4094.806-68,8%-70,5%0,3%0,4%
3131Infiniti3724.555-42,7%-30,7%0,3%0,3%
3228Peugeot3704.891-73,3%-72,0%0,3%0,4%
3335Fiat3103.175-54,1%-48,1%0,2%0,2%
3434Honda2644.159-81,9%-74,9%0,2%0,3%
3540Dongfeng155879#DIV/0!#DIV/0!0,1%0,1%
3637Jeep1321.826-79,8%-71,6%0,1%0,1%
3739Brilliance130900-1,5%74,1%0,1%0,1%
3842Cadillac12780415,5%-24,1%0,1%0,1%
3930SsangYong1254.735-95,6%-76,7%0,1%0,4%
4036Great Wall1023.081-91,4%-76,2%0,1%0,2%
4138Mini961.161-50,0%-14,6%0,1%0,1%
4241Jaguar85831-37,5%-39,9%0,1%0,1%
4346ChangAn71408-39,3%-54,8%0,1%0,0%
4448Haima56259-34,1%-62,5%0,0%0,0%
4543Acura51613-51,4%-6,6%0,0%0,0%
4644Isuzu43494-38,6%6,0%0,0%0,0%
4747BAW41285-54,9%-70,4%0,0%0,0%
4845Smart3941030,0%41,4%0,0%0,0%
4952Alfa Romeo735-41,7%-53,3%0,0%0,0%
5049Jac5137-90,2%-60,7%0,0%0,0%
5151Chrysler337-72,7%-63,7%0,0%0,0%
5254Foton117-50,0%-72,1%0,0%0,0%
Rank OctRank 2015GroupSales OctSales 2015Var OctVar 2015Share OctShare 2015
11Renault-Nissan39.071429.290-43,2%-30,0%30,1%32,4%
22Hyundai-Kia28.567268.390-12,9%-11,4%22,0%20,3%
33Volkswagen14.623138.925-30,1%-36,1%11,3%10,5%
44Toyota7.88795.785-45,8%-33,5%6,1%7,2%
55General Motors5.77776.704-63,4%-58,7%4,4%5,8%
68UAZ5.27037.778-23,0%2,2%4,1%2,9%
77GAZ Group4.84441.735-26,2%-23,8%3,7%3,2%
86Mercedes Daimler3.98642.831-26,8%-10,3%3,1%3,2%
910Ford3.96230.508-25,1%-39,3%3,0%2,3%
109Mitsubishi3.04831.139-57,2%-47,7%2,3%2,4%
Rank OctRank 2015ModelSales OctSales 2015Var OctVar 2015Share OctShare 2015
12Hyundai Solaris9.50795.047-10,0%0,0%9,7%7,5%
21Lada Granta9.30899.653-27,0%-22,7%9,5%7,9%
33Kia Rio9.01780.66727,0%11,6%9,2%6,4%
44Volkswagen Polo4.63736.01519,9%-25,6%4,7%2,8%
56Renault Duster4.20534.313-27,2%-44,1%4,3%2,7%
65Renault Logan3.23434.546-50,7%-23,1%3,3%2,7%
713Renault Sandero3.09425.181-2,0%-15,7%3,2%2,0%
812Chevrolet Niva3.03925.357-18,8%-22,3%3,1%2,0%
97Lada Largus3.02932.806-53,8%-33,2%3,1%2,6%
108Lada Kalina2.90732.011-39,5%-41,5%3,0%2,5%
119Lada 4×42.79530.265-45,8%-7,0%2,9%2,4%
1220Hyundai ix352.34817.361-13,0%-38,1%2,4%1,4%
1324UAZ Patriot2.29816.02231,0%18,2%2,3%1,3%
1411Toyota Camry2.27625.551-20,7%-7,3%2,3%2,0%
1521Nissan X-Trail2.27316.53715,7%-11,3%2,3%1,3%
1618Skoda Rapid2.17319.935-29,9%32,3%2,2%1,6%
1726Mitsubishi Outlander1.90013.975-42,1%-22,1%1,9%1,1%
1814Lada Priora1.83822.991-46,7%-40,5%1,9%1,8%
1919Skoda Octavia1.82618.348-35,3%-39,2%1,9%1,4%
2022Kia Sportage1.80516.248-45,6%-29,1%1,8%1,3%
2115Nissan Almera1.47122.019-68,2%-36,3%1,5%1,7%
2223Kia Cee’d1.43516.223-55,9%-25,1%1,5%1,3%
2325Mazda CX-51.35914.967-36,0%-7,4%1,4%1,2%
2428Toyota Prado1.29111.704-10,8%-19,1%1,3%0,9%
2533Chevrolet Cruze1.2509.563-38,5%-61,6%1,3%0,8%

 

To know more about the market with a review of all last years statistics and the forecast towards the 2015, read the just published research:

 

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