Russian market report. Full year 2016. Lowest since ’90s

Russian Vehicles Sales in 2016

Russian Vehicles Sales 2016 dropped down again in double-digit at the lowest level since the ’90s, almost the half of the 2012 level and falling as World’s 12th market. Lada lost the model’s leadership.

Market Outlook

After two years in recession, the return to growth is expected to be gradual and uneven, given the absence of fiscal or monetary policy support. Moreover, the shock to Russia’s external sector from low oil prices and international sanctions was substantial in 2016 and a quick recovery is not in the cards for now.

However, GDP should continue to strengthen gradually and the economy is expected to enter a shallow recovery this year, but plans to reduce the fiscal deficit will prevent a faster pickup in activity. The analysts we surveyed expect the economy to expand 1.2% in 2017, which is unchanged from last month’s projection, before accelerating to a 1.6% expansion in 2018.

The automotive sector collapse started in the 2013, immediately after the achievement of the actual al time record for the domestic sales (2.9 million units in a year) kept the pace in the 2016 while reducing the falling speed, reaching near 1.5 millions units lost from the record and over 50% of volume.

According to the data released by the AEB, the Association of European Businesses in Russia, the market is now falling since 24 consecutive months with December almost flat with sales at 145.684 (-0.7%), showing that probably the trend is now at the end and just since the first quarter of the 2017 the market will start recovering.

Full year sales had been 1.425.791 units (-11.0%), the lowest level since the ’90s with the market rolling down in the World’s ranking at the 12th step.

Competitive Arena

The brand leader of course was Lada with 266.296 units (-1.0%) ahead of Kia and Hyundai, while among the highest increases there were Lexus, Lifan, Cadillac and Ford. The best performance had been reported by Jaguar, up 113.3%.

SsangYong hit the sharpest slowdown, losing 78.0%, while others struggling brands had been Honda, Geely, Daewoo and Mitsubishi.

The Hyundai Solaris was the best-selling model with 90.380 units (-22.0%), moving out a Lada model from the podium for the very first time!

In second place the Lada Granta with 87.726 (-27.0%) ahead of the Kia Rio with 87.662 (-9.7%).

To see the details on the best-selling cars with the ranking of the best 100 models, see the report here

Research, Consulting, Data & Forecast Store

F2M covers intensively this market with several products developed to help any investigation required.

Market Researches in PDF are immediately available for download with study on the market since 2005 and with forecast up to the 2022.

Auto Data in EXCEL are immediately downloadable with annual sales volume, split by month, for all brands and all models distributed in the market. This year data are released year to date, but you will receive a monthly update until the year-end.

All these and more within our  Russia Corner Store

Below, you can sort our interactive tables to see data regarding Brands, Groups and Models. Please bear in mind that sales data are subject to adjustments as sources will update their information. This report is updated at the publishing date and will not be modified while the next on this subject will report year to date data updated.

Rank DecRank 2016BRANDSales DecemberSales 2016 FYVariation DecemberVariation 2016 FYShare DecemberShare 2016
11Lada27.630266.29617,7%-1,0%19,0%18,7%
42Kia13.193149.567-13,3%-8,5%9,1%10,5%
23Hyundai14.080145.32618,6%-9,8%9,7%10,2%
34Renault13.765117.23015,3%-2,6%9,4%8,2%
55Toyota10.41794.568-6,8%-3,6%7,2%6,6%
66Volkswagen8.44980.621-1,3%-4,1%5,8%5,7%
87Nissan6.94270.464-17,5%-22,7%4,8%4,9%
78GAZ7.51755.80347,4%9,0%5,2%3,9%
109Skoda5.01655.3869,1%0,7%3,4%3,9%
910UAZ5.90948.848-6,6%0,5%4,1%3,4%
1211Mercedes3.79043.2163,2%-13,5%2,6%3,0%
1112Ford4.16642.528-8,0%10,2%2,9%3,0%
1313Chevrolet3.23530.463-3,9%-38,8%2,2%2,1%
1614BMW2.33827.5079,4%0,1%1,6%1,9%
1515Lexus2.50924.11714,8%19,2%1,7%1,7%
1716Mazda2.29421.5435,4%-21,3%1,6%1,5%
1917Audi1.64620.705-29,7%-19,3%1,1%1,5%
1418Datsun2.78918.7724,8%-41,4%1,9%1,3%
1819Lifan1.82017.460-28,7%15,4%1,2%1,2%
2020Mitsubishi1.27316.769-54,0%-53,3%0,9%1,2%
2121Land Rover7859.122-32,0%-21,4%0,5%0,6%
22Daewoo8.574-100,0%-58,1%0,0%0,6%
2423Subaru5875.638-4,6%-17,7%0,4%0,4%
2324Volvo6485.585-36,7%-28,7%0,4%0,4%
2225Porsche6574.96142,5%-6,2%0,5%0,3%
3026Chery2894.758-23,3%-4,1%0,2%0,3%
2827Suzuki3194.520-55,9%-30,9%0,2%0,3%
2628Infiniti4254.517-12,0%-17,8%0,3%0,3%
3329Geely2514.473-77,8%-61,5%0,2%0,3%
3130Citroen2883.803-29,4%-31,2%0,2%0,3%
2731Peugeot3383.602-22,1%-36,2%0,2%0,3%
3432Fiat2242.159-38,5%-43,2%0,2%0,2%
3233Jaguar2792.073287,5%113,3%0,2%0,1%
2534Ravon4991.8110,3%0,1%
2935Honda3091.74716,6%-62,2%0,2%0,1%
3836Mini1291.36035,8%0,7%0,1%0,1%
3537Cadillac1531.274-25,7%11,7%0,1%0,1%
3738Jeep1381.2691,5%-38,3%0,1%0,1%
4039Dongfeng641.152-80,2%-15,6%0,1%
4840SsangYong21.141-99,2%-78,0%0,1%
4441Brilliance20863-87,8%-28,2%0,1%
4142FAW568290,0%0,1%
3643Smart144696380,0%47,8%0,1%
3944Isuzu122617114,0%0,0%0,1%
4345ChangAn37540-84,2%-26,4%
4246Iveco43518-29,5%-29,2%
4347Zotye37301
4748BAW14171-33,3%-48,0%
49Acura163
50Haima114
4651Alfa Romeo16100
4552Foton1775
4753Genesis1446
4854Chrysler230
Rank DecRank 2016GROUPSales DecemberSales 2016 FYVariation DecemberVariation 2016 FYShare DecemberShare 2016 FY
11Renault-Nissan51.551477.2799,8%-7,9%35,4%33,5%
22Hyundai-Kia27.287294.9390,7%-9,2%18,7%20,7%
33Volkswagen15.768161.673-1,2%-5,0%10,8%11,3%
44Toyota12.926118.685-3,3%0,3%8,9%8,3%
55GAZ Group7.51755.80347,4%9,0%5,2%3,9%
66UAZ5.90948.848-6,6%0,5%4,1%3,4%
87Mercedes Daimler3.93443.9126,2%-12,9%2,7%3,1%
78Ford4.16642.528-8,0%10,2%2,9%3,0%
99General Motors3.88742.122-35,5%-52,3%2,7%3,0%
1010BMW2.46728.86710,5%0,1%1,7%2,0%
Rank DecRank 2016ModelSales DecemberSales 2016Variation DecemberVariation 2016
21Hyundai Solaris8.04290.380-14,1%-22,0%
12Lada Granta8.77387.726-23,9%-27,0%
33Kia Rio8.02987.662-1,8%-9,7%
44Lada Vesta7.01455.174
55Volkswagen Polo4.31247.701-7,1%5,1%
136GAZ Gazelle2.84044.9190,0%1,1%
77Renault Duster3.89644.001-26,5%0,2%
208Toyota RAV42.15830.601-36,7%12,9%
99Chevrolet Niva3.11729.8443,3%-4,9%
1110Renault Logan3.02429.565-15,0%-28,4%
1211Lada Largus2.88129.341-5,7%-24,7%
1412Lada 4x42.77128.6550,0%-18,9%
1013Renault Sandero3.03328.55714,6%-5,5%
1614Toyota Camry2.52828.062-10,6%-6,9%
1815Skoda Rapid2.47325.9318,5%5,6%
616Hyundai Creta4.00221.929
2117Skoda Octavia2.04021.75940,7%1,8%
2918Lada Kalina1.74420.982-2,3%-41,5%
2719UAZ Bukhanka1.81120.7290,0%3,4%
1520Lada XRay2.64419.943
1921Uaz Patriot2.35819.3817,3%-2,9%
3022Kia Sportage1.73919.003-25,4%-8,4%
3123Nissan X-Trail1.57617.786-23,8%-13,2%
3324Lada Priora1.32817.553-50,0%-38,0%
2625Nissan Qashqai1.83116.824124,4%65,2%

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